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World leaders have made a forceful statement that climate change is the greatest challenge facing humanity in the 21st century. However, little progress has been made in implementing policies to address climate change. In Climate Uncertainty and Risk, eminent climate scientist Judith Curry shows how we can break this gridlock. This book helps us rethink the climate change problem, the risks we are facing and how we can respond to these challenges. Understanding the deep uncertainty surrounding the climate change problem helps us to better assess the risks. This book shows how uncertainty and disagreement can be part of the decision-making process. It provides a road map for formulating pragmatic solutions. Climate Uncertainty and Risk is essential reading for those concerned about the environment, professionals dealing with climate change and our national leaders.
Publisher : Anthem Press (June 6, 2023)
Language : English
Paperback : 340 pages
ISBN-10 : 1839989254
ISBN-13 : 978-1839989254
Item Weight : 14.4 ounces
Dimensions : 6.02 x 1.02 x 9 inches
Reviewer: Martha M.
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Want to Understand Climate Change- read thi
Review: If you read just this book, your grasp of climate change will increase tenfold. It is a fact based and thorough book on ACTUAL causes of climate change and practical solutions based on facts, uncertainties and risk vs political BS.
Reviewer: James W. Dabney
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: A Trustworthy Voice on a Critically Important Subject
Review: At a time when some governments are rushing to ban the sale of gasoline-powered light vehicles, it has never been more important for non-specialists, including elected officials, to educate themselves on the stated justifications for such radical and divisive edicts.Dr. Judith Curry devoted most of her professional career to being an educator in the field of atmospheric science. Dr. Curry is Professor Emeritus and former Chair of the School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences at Georgia Institute of Technology (âGeorgia Techâ). Dr. Curryâs areas of expertise were and are in clouds (including cloud aerosol interactions), sea ice, air/sea interactions, and the climate dynamics of extreme events.Dr. Curry writes that up through late 2009, she had âjoined the consensusâ in treating reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (âIPCCâ) as âauthoritative.â But her perception of the work of the IPCC changed following the unauthorized release, in late 2009, of internal e-mails from the Climate Research Unit (âCRUâ) of the University of East Anglia, an event that has been referred to as âClimategate.â The released e-mails exposed what Dr. Curry charitably calls âpolitics and personal agendasâ in the IPCC assessment process.Following âClimategate,â Dr. Curry writes, she redefined and broadened her academic network to include open-minded individuals from the fields of physics, philosophy, economics, social psychology, law, engineering, management, communications, artificial intelligence, statistics, and political and policy sciences. Dr. Curry resigned her tenured faculty position in 2017 after âdrift[ing] away from the mainstream narrative about climate change.â Dr. Curry now provides consulting services supporting real world decision-making to manage weather- and climate-related risks. âMost importantly,â she writes, âI am exhilarated by the lack of political and peer constraints in conducting my research, serving the clients of CFAN [her company], and in my public statements about climate change.âDr. Curryâs book provides an accessible, lucid, and comprehensive review of assumptions that underlie such once-unthinkable government actions as banning gasoline-powered light vehicles. Her book also exposes the unstated reality of such actions, which is a substantially diminished standard of living and forced public investments in immature technologies, all for the sake of dubious forecasts of the incremental effect(s) of posited CO2 levels decades or centuries from now, according to ever-changing (and largely secret) computational models of chaotic phenomena for which actual real-world input measurements are largely unavailable.Dr. Curry proposes that governments rethink their responses to posited rises in CO2 and related posited temperature levels. (Dr. Curry notes that between 2013 and 2023 â the dates of the two most recent IPCC assessment reports â what had once been posited as plausible had ceased to be viewed as plausible among many proponents of the IPCCâs work.) Dr. Curryâs book identifies efficient, âno regretsâ alternatives to hugely wasteful and destructive interventions that some governments are attempting to rush through under the cover of hysteria engineered and funded by those same governments.
Reviewer: Amazon Customer
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Required Reading For Anyone Wanting To Understand and Comment on "Climate Change"
Review: I have been following the "climate change" debate for decades, often finding more heat than light. What may have begun as science has been heavily politicized, and it has gotten hard to know what to believe. Judith Curry has done us all a signal service by writing this excellent book. Every word is considered; the progression of ideas is logical and painless; she does not raise her voice and I think she gives a fair hearing to all sides. Her background (and ongoing professional activity) equip her to handle and explain clearly the physics of weather and climate, the power and limitations of models, the range and quality of data we've got (and the data we don't) with which we try to characterize and predict the complex (chaotic, nonlinear, sketchily observed) behavior of the oceans, the air, the land, the ice caps. She shows us what we know (and with what confidence), what we don't know, and what we can't know. And Part III (on risk management) is an independent masterpiece. I can't recommend this book highly enough.
Reviewer: Phil
Rating: 4.0 out of 5 stars
Title: biased, but important
Review: This is a good book to consider alternative perspectives about climate change. I loved the quotes before every section. They really made me think. And I counted over 1200 references, so itâs well researched. My problem is I got the feeling Judith thinks she know better than all of the scientists that have studied the CC problem for decades and see great dangers in human caused CC.CC is a problem that fossil fuel companies have deliberately spent millions of dollars to undermine, even though their own research supported those same ideas, as far back as the 1970-80s. Itâs little wonder that CC scientists have fought so hard to get their ideas heard. In her own disillusionment, Judith pretty much slams the reputation of traditional climate scientists saying they only publish the party line to keep their jobs and get grants. She sounds just like the fossil fuel companies. Judith seems blind to her own biases. One could say the same about her publishing her book to recruit deniers to buy her book. Judithâs view that natural climate change is of equal importance to human caused climate changes âat this timeâ does not match up with my perspective of the problem.Iâm not a CC scientist, but I taught college chemistry for 45 years and have studied CC for about 15 years. Iâve read 100s of books (2 of which were textbooks), articles, blogs, watched countless youtube lectures. I felt Judith implied that all CC scientists only attributed CC to excess CO2 (very brief mention of CH4 and N2O). She does point out how complex CC is, including social, political, economic aspects, but she is not unique in doing this. Others who consider CO2 a really big problem have done the same.Judith claims factors like volcanoes, asteroids and solar factors are just as big in CC as human causes, but other scientists have considered all of those and found them â at our current time â to not be significant contributors. Itâs true that a super volcano or large asteroid hit or major solar flare up would be catastrophic, and it has happened in the past, even causing mass extinctions. But it is NOT happening right now. To bring those up is a diversion from what our real problem is right now, burning too much fossil fuels which is adding too much CO2 to the atmosphere and oceans (and land management problems). CO2 is emphasized because it is the major product of FF combustion (although methane is approximately 1/3 of the problem, a few percent from N2O, O3 and CFCs).CO2 and CH4 are increasing faster than ever and yet fossil fuel companies are pushing for even more coal, oil and natural gas extraction. I felt like Judith thought this was a good thing to maintain and improve the standard of living around the world. That is definitely something we want to do (improve standard of living), but not at a cost of destroying a livable world. We are taking 100s of millions of years of solar energy out of the ground and burning it in less than 200 years. Itâs like we have become the largest volcanic eruptions in the history of earth. Itâs crazy to think we arenât disrupting our world. If you go back to the PETM there was significant volcanic activity with a huge effect on climate (maybe +10C), but even that was over 100,000s years, much slower than what we are doing. Some scientists think that (slower) release of CO2 trigger a really large tipping point of CH4 release. Itâs certainly possible that we could do the same. Every year we set a new temperature record. Every year we add more CO2 than in previous years. And, we are stuck with what weâve already put out there for hundreds of years. We can only hope that melting permafrost doesnât trigger a rupture of additional CO2 and CH4 that we have no control over.We will almost certainly have a blue ocean event in the Arctic by 2030s and Greenland and Antarctic ice is melting faster than ever, drastically changing albedo in the Arctic further warming earth, possibly increasing sea level rise by a meter (or more) by 2100+.The points Judith raises are important and must be considered in our future approach to CC. Resilience is good, but will only work if we find sustainable ways to live with nature and donât provoke tipping points. We donât want to become like a bacteria culture in the death phase of growth.We cannot take our eyes off of the major goals of reducing our use of fossil fuels as quickly as possible and finding more sustainable approaches (politics) to our use and sharing of resources on earth (animals, forests, ocean, minerals, water, land, cement, steel, fertilizers, plastics, ozone, fossil fuels, etc). I do agree we almost certainly will need to use some fossil fuels to get through hard times ahead, but we have to bring their use way down.There are many problems that are made worse by many people and they will get worse in the coming decades. We are very close to losing earthâs coral reefs (at +2C), along with 25% of the oceanâs diversity and the Amazon rainforest with its vast diversity. Look across the Atlantic to Africa at the same latitude and imagine the Amazon as a desert like the Sahel. That would be an epic disaster. Can we save it? I donât know, but to even have a chance we have to work like crazy people trying to save ourselves.We have gigantic fires burning in the Boreal forests of Canada and Siberia, the Amazon, Australia, Europe and the western US. Texas, China, India, Canada, Europe, the western US, Australia are cooking with record temperatures. Will the Asian rice-producing Mekong Delta survive salt water intrusion into its water flow in the 21st century? What happens if we can't grow that rice? What about salt water intrusion into the Florida Everglades, San Franciscoâs water table? Will sea level rise drown coastal cities around the world?If we listen to Judith, we just assume a significant part of these problems are caused by natural climate and there is little we can do about it and better keep taking FFs out of the ground to raise standards of living. From all Iâve read and studied, I donât buy that argument. Her book is important because it broadens our perspective and raises important points that we have to consider in addressing CC, but it is dangerous because it discounts what many other scientists tell us are major problems that have to be addressed and disputes the time crisis.We are in a tough spot. My own biases are that we should conservatively continue to extract the fossil fuels that are already developed, but STOP all future exploration. This could give us a rationed amount of fossil fuels used in a limited way to transition to a different way of living. Those remaining fossil fuels would be more valuable than gold (might be better to say more valuable than water). I agree with Judith that nuclear should be part of the solution, but lots of people disagree, so there is another argument to settle.Can rich nations give up their privilege to allow poorer nations to improve their standard of living? Probably not, but we have to. Do we need a different economic model that deemphasizes endless profit and infinite growth? Probably, but can we change? We need to stop subsidizing the fossil fuel industry. Judith has lots of ideas in these areas. We need to pick and choose among her ideas and others to try and find the ones that help solve our problems. Her uncertainty and risk analysis shows a possible paths to follow.Despite a difference of opinion on various aspects of her book, I think it is a valuable, but challenging, book that everyone should read.
Reviewer: RGMods
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: enlightened read.
Review: Not a light read, but one that should be required reading for anyone who wants to discuss climate change and solutions.
Reviewer: Bryan M.
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title: Scientific views presented without emotional urgency
Review: Finally! A reasonable, detailed and scientific explanation of a polarizing subject. Judith Curry takes the politics, agendas, ulterior motives and high emotions out this complex issue. As a lay person, I appreciate an expert who can lay it all out and address each facet of the problem scientifically as well as include all expert opinions, not just the majority "approved" ones.
Reviewer: Cliente de Amazon
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title:
Review: academia
Reviewer: Bill French
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title:
Review: Excellent book with thousands of references. Too bad governments have a single focus and made climate change a political weapon rather than anything based on science. Unfortunately we are all paying for it and what we are doing will not change anything in the next 100 years except drive about 20% more of the world population into poverty. The chance pf predicting climate change is like trying to forecast the weather for the next 50 years. How accurate would that be? READ THIS BOOK!
Reviewer: Dr. Hans-Rolf Dübal
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title:
Review: Judith Currys Buch ist ein beeindruckendes, lehrreiches Werk, das man sich nach dem Lesen griffbereit in Schreibtischnähe hält. Es gehört zu den Arbeiten, die auch noch in 30 Jahren eine Aktualität haben werden. Diesem hervorragenden, sauber recherchierten und von tiefer Sachkenntnis geprägten Buch ist eine möglichst groÃe Verbreitung zu wünschen.
Reviewer: Honest John
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title:
Review: It's easy to be carried along the alarmist river of climate catastrophe: Everyday-headlines nudge us towards concern and heightened fears. Climate science is a wicked problem - not a tame one. Our response to risks associated with climate change (both natural and human-contributed) needs to be comprehensive, rational, measured and dynamic. This book unpacks the complexity of climate science in a way the lay person can get to grips with, without compromising fidelity. It also explains how we cumulatively got to where we are now in public misunderstanding and how the goal has shifted towards a narrow focussed, reductionist, precautionary set of policies which will likely do humanity significantly more harm than good. It also sets out how the situation can be recovered with a more balanced mix of modern sciences (including risk management) which are better tools to address incremental, emerging and emergency risks. A highly important synthesis and progressive piece of work which is fit for the purpose of combating climate change. I thoroughly recommend it to rational, critical thinkers and the worried well-meaners . I hope will help soothe the hysteria and help CO2 overcome adversity (it is not poison, it has highly sought-after benefits for all life forms). A 'thoroughly recommended read' from a highly credentialed and accomplished author - Judith A. Curry.
Reviewer: Johan F
Rating: 5.0 out of 5 stars
Title:
Review: An absolutely necessary read. Strongly recommended.
Customers say
Customers find the book well-researched and providing a clear framework for thinking about climate change. They describe it as an excellent primer that provides useful information from the first few chapters. The book is considered serious for scientists by readers.
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